2021 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Final: Analysis and Betting Prediction
The Wimbledon Men’s Singles finals are set: Novak Djokovic is a 5-time Wimbledon champion looking to take the third step towards completing the Calendar Grand Slam and notching his 20 career grand slam title. For Matteo Berrettini, this will be his is a first-time as a grand slam finalist and the first-ever Italian to reach the finals at Wimbledon. Who has the edge and how should we bet this match? Let’s dig deeper in our 2021 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Final: Analysis and Betting Prediction.
First, Let’s look at the head-to-head career numbers. Djokovic leads the career matchup 2-0, however, they have never met on grass. Berrettini is currently undefeated this season at 11-0 on grass. Djokovic is also undefeated at 6-0 on grass this season so something has to give.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head
| Year | Round | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
| 2021 | QF | French Open | Clay | Djokovic | 6-3, 6-2, 6-7 (5), 7-5 |
| 2019 | RR | World Tour Finals | Hard | Djokovic | 6-2, 6-1 |
Novak Djokovic
Djokovic (34 years old) is currently ranked #1 in the world and sports a 32-3 record in 2021. Novak has cruised to the finals and is looking to go 3-for-3 in Grand Slam Finals matches in 2021. Djokovic won both the Australian Open and French Open earlier this year and can claim his 20th career triumph at a major tournament with a victory over Berrettini. That would be a record-tying win for Djokovic, who is one Grand Slam title behind Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal for the most in men’s singles history. Djokovic has faced only two seeded players (No. 10 Denis Shapovalov and No. 17 Cristian Garin) to this point, and Berrettini, the No. 7 seed, will be the highest-ranked player Djokovic will face at the event. Even though the veteran Djokovic has only dropped 1 set in this tournament he is not taking his opponent lightly.
“It’s finals, it’s really anybody’s game. He’s arguably the guy who has been in the best form on grass courts this year, winning Queen’s. He’s red hot. It’s going to be a great battle.”
Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini (25 years old) is currently ranked 9th in the world and comes in with a 26-6 record for 2021. He is also the first Italian to reach the Wimbledon finals. Berrettini has never made it past the semifinals at a major tournament. But when you are serving as well as Matteo is (leads the tournament in aces) and has only been broken five times in total, three of which came in his quarter-final clash with Felix Auger-Aliassime it is clear he deserves to be here. Even with an impressive tournament so far, he is not satisfied.
“Obviously, the job is not done yet,” Berrettini said. “I want to get the trophy now that I’m here.”
Berrettini has yet to beat a Top 10 player on his way to the final—which unfortunately means he hasn’t faced anyone remotely as prolific as Djokovic.
Prediction
I admire Berrettini and the tournament he has played. His serve has served (pun intended) him well. His forehand is a major weapon and I expect him to go deep in major tournaments moving forward. However, Djokovic is simply on another level and highly motivated to notch his 20th slam title. I believe Berrettini holds most of his serves but Novak will prevail in the end, so give me Over 38 Games -107.
Best of luck. Enjoy the match however you bet.
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