The Wimbledon Men’s Singles finals are set: Novak Djokovic is a 5-time Wimbledon champion looking to take the third step towards completing the Calendar Grand Slam and notching his 20 career grand slam title. For Matteo Berrettini, this will be his is a first-time as a grand slam finalist and the first-ever Italian to reach the finals at Wimbledon. Who has the edge and how should we bet this match? Let’s dig deeper in our 2021 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Final: Analysis and Betting Prediction.
Berrettini vs. Djokovic
First, Let’s look at the head-to-head career numbers. Djokovic leads the career matchup 2-0, however, they have never met on grass. Berrettini is currently undefeated this season at 11-0 on grass. Djokovic is also undefeated at 6-0 on grass this season so something has to give.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head
Year
Round
Tournament
Surface
Winner
Score
2021
QF
French Open
Clay
Djokovic
6-3, 6-2, 6-7 (5), 7-5
2019
RR
World Tour Finals
Hard
Djokovic
6-2, 6-1
Novak Djokovic
Djokovic (34 years old) is currently ranked #1 in the world and sports a 32-3 record in 2021. Novak has cruised to the finals and is looking to go 3-for-3 in Grand Slam Finals matches in 2021. Djokovic won both the Australian Open and French Open earlier this year and can claim his 20th career triumph at a major tournament with a victory over Berrettini. That would be a record-tying win for Djokovic, who is one Grand Slam title behind Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal for the most in men’s singles history. Djokovic has faced only two seeded players (No. 10 Denis Shapovalov and No. 17 Cristian Garin) to this point, and Berrettini, the No. 7 seed, will be the highest-ranked player Djokovic will face at the event. Even though the veteran Djokovic has only dropped 1 set in this tournament he is not taking his opponent lightly.
“It’s finals, it’s really anybody’s game. He’s arguably the guy who has been in the best form on grass courts this year, winning Queen’s. He’s red hot. It’s going to be a great battle.”
Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini (25 years old) is currently ranked 9th in the world and comes in with a 26-6 record for 2021. He is also the first Italian to reach the Wimbledon finals. Berrettini has never made it past the semifinals at a major tournament. But when you are serving as well as Matteo is (leads the tournament in aces) and has only been broken five times in total, three of which came in his quarter-final clash with Felix Auger-Aliassime it is clear he deserves to be here. Even with an impressive tournament so far, he is not satisfied.
“Obviously, the job is not done yet,” Berrettini said. “I want to get the trophy now that I’m here.”
Berrettini has yet to beat a Top 10 player on his way to the final—which unfortunately means he hasn’t faced anyone remotely as prolific as Djokovic.
Prediction
I admire Berrettini and the tournament he has played. His serve has served (pun intended) him well. His forehand is a major weapon and I expect him to go deep in major tournaments moving forward. However, Djokovic is simply on another level and highly motivated to notch his 20th slam title. I believe Berrettini holds most of his serves but Novak will prevail in the end, so give me Over 38 Games -107.
Best of luck. Enjoy the match however you bet.
Let us know what you think of our2021 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Final: Analysis and Betting Prediction.
Russian Daniil Medvedev will face Belgian David Goffin in the finals of the Western and Southern Open at 4:00 ET today. Both will be seeking their first career ATP Masters Series title.
Medvedev who is currently ranked #8 in the world comes into these finals off a semi-finals upset match against world No. 1 Novak Djokovic 3-6, 6-3, 6-3. This the second time Medvedev has defeated the Serbian this year. The first was in the quarter-finals at Monte Carlo 6-3, 4-6, 6-2
Goffin, the 19th ranked player in the world and fresh off a defeat of French veteran Richard Gasquet in the semi-finals 6-3, 6-4 looks to secure his fifth career ATP title on Sunday.
Medvedev and Goffin will meet for the third time in their careers, each having split the previous matches, both in grand slams.
Year
Round
Tournament
Winner
Score
2019
R32
Wimbledon
Goffin
4-6, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, 7-5
2019
R32
Australian Open
Medvedev
6-2, 7-6 (3), 6-3
Medvedev is into his third ATP Tour final in as many weeks (Washington, Montreal, Cincinnati) and has collected 30 hardcourt wins in 2019 giving the Russian confidence as we get closer to the U.S Open.
“I think I will need to play aggressively, especially remembering my match in Wimbledon against David. I felt that I couldn’t keep up with his consistency when he’s in great shape,” Medvedev said. “At one moment I stepped up my game kind of like today with aggression and I almost won the match, though I lost it, and I think I’m going to have to be aggressive tomorrow.”
The 28-year-old Goffin is the first Belgian to reach a Masters 1000 final and impressively has won 77% of his service games on hardcourt in 2019.
“I’m just focussed on what I have to do step by step. I’ll try to do my best. I try to win every match, and then we see at the end,” Goffin said. “To reach the first Masters 1000 [final] for a Belgian, of course for such a small country it’s really nice.”
Here’s how today’s competitors reached the finals:
Medvedev
Goffin
SF
Novak Djokovic
3-6, 6-3, 6-3
Richard Gasquet
6-3, 6-4
QF
Andrey Rublev
6-2, 6-3
Yoshihito Nishioka
w/o
R16
Jan-Lennard Struff
6-2, 6-1
Adrian Mannarino
7-6(6), 6-2
R32
Benoit Paire
7-6 (2), 6-1
Guido Pella
6-1, 7-5
R64
Kyle Edmund
6-2, 7-5
Taylor Fritz
6-4, 4-6, 6-4
The last time Medvedev and Goffin met on hardcourt they recorded 30 games between them. I see this match being no different. Let’s go with a Games Total over 22 -115 (BookMaker) for our Western and Southern Open Men’s Final pick. Best of luck cappers!
World #1 and 4-time Wimbledon Champion Novak Djokovic will face 8-time Wimbledon Champion and world #3 Roger Federer on Sunday, July 14th starting at 9:00 a.m. EST from The All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London, England in the Wimbledon men’s final.
These two living tennis legends have met an astounding 47 times with Djokovic leading the overall series 25-22. At Wimbledon, they have met 3 times:
While The Joker leads the Wimbledon head to head 2-1 over The Swiss maestro, it is hard to bet against the 37-year-old Federer who has an impressive 101-12 career record en route to his 8 titles here at Wimbledon. It is also impossible to say that Djokovic is the clear cut favorite, although most books have him between -175 to -200 to claim his fifth Wimbledon title.
Collectively Fed and Joker have played 37 games (2012), 58 games (2014) and 45 games (2015) during their 3 previous Wimbledon meetings. Since finding a clear cut winner is a toss-up, these two titans should have a long grinding match with plenty of points. We like getting basically even money in this one, but shop around for the total your comfortable with. We will place a wager on Total Games over 41.5 +100 (Heritage)
