Last week we took the week off to visit family, thus no posted picks. Rest assured we still stayed in touch with what went on in week 11. Let’s get the screens green again with our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 12 Picks. Here we go…
The Chargers travel to Buffalo in a game projected for 53 total points, the third-highest total on DraftKings Sunday main slate. Conversely, both defenses are allowing nearly 27 points per game while both offenses average over 26 points scored per game. It is also worth noting that the Chargers (280 passing yards/GM) and the Bills (279 passing yards/GM) rank 4th and 5th respectively in passing offense. Buffalo is currently favored by five points and are coming off a bye week. The Chargers come in off a 34-28 win over the New York Jets. With that said, let’s get to the top team stack to kick off our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 12 Picks.
Josh Allen is the third highest-priced QB this week on DraftKings. That is certainly warranted as his 27 DKFP/GM is evidence of. The Chargers are allowing 20.1 DKFP/GM to opposing QB’s (10th most in the NFL). The Chargers just allowed the winless Jets backup Joe Flacco to score 15.4 DKFP. Flacco went for 205 passing yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT against the Chargers. Allen, in his third year, is having the best season of his career, ranking 8th in the NFL in total passing yards. Allen has impressed throwing for 21 TD to 7 INT, good for a 103.2 passer rating. Let’s not forget, Allen has also rushed for 279 yards and five touchdowns. The sky’s the limit for Allen who will be well represented in my Cash and GPP lineups this week on DraftKings.
Cole Beasley put together his best performance of the season in week ten versus Arizona. All he did was catch 11 of 13 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown, finishing the game with 30.9 DKFP. In fact, with 642 receiving yards, Beasley is on pace to record his first 1,000-yard season. First off, Buffalo will be without fellow WR John Brown (ankle), which should bump up Beasley’s 20.7% target share. In two games without John Brown in the lineup, Cole Beasley has 17 receptions for 165 yards, averaging 18.3 DKFP/GM. Secondly, Chargers defensive coordinator Gus Bradley runs a zone defense. Lastly, Beasley is the master of finding the soft spot in zone defenses. At $5,500 on DraftKings, I love Beasley this week in GPP’s. I expect Stefon Diggs to garner much higher ownership. Therefore, I’ll gladly pivot to Beasley.
Keenan Allen will surely be popular this week, especially after catching 16 of 19 targets for 145 yards and 1 TD (38.5 DKFP) last week versus the New York Jets. But I am rolling with Hunter Henry this week in GPP’s in my Bills-Chargers stacks. Henry ranks in the top ten amongst tight ends in target share (17%) and air yards (509) this season and he gets a fantastic matchup with a Buffalo defense that has allowed the 3rd most DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends (15.8 DKFP/GM). I imagine the Bills will do everything in their power to make sure Keenan Allen doesn’t beat them, which should open up things for Hunter Henry, who has seen at least six targets per game over the last three games and has scored a touchdown in back to back games.
Betting Pick
Chargers LB/DE Melvin Ingram (knee) and CB Casey Hayward (calf) have both been ruled out versus the Bills. Hit that game total over 53 as well.
I will gladly pay the king’s ransom this week for Dalvin Cook, as he is the highest-priced player on DraftKings Sunday main slate. Nonetheless, I don’t care, I will find other places to pay down in my roster builds. Over the last four weeks, Cook has rushed for 580 yards and an impressive 6 touchdowns. Cook has also added 13 of 14 receiving targets for 170 yards. To be clear that is 34.5 DKFP/GM over the last 4 weeks. This week he gets a great matchup against the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has allowed the 5th most DKFP/GM to opposing running backs (27 DKFP) and 102 rushing yards per game this season. Cook will be a staple in all formats for Week 12.
Sammy Watkins is set to return this week after missing the last five games with a hamstring injury. He faces a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that just allowed Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods to collect 23 receptions, 275 receiving yards, one touchdown combining for 62.1 DKFP last week. Watkins has seen at least seven targets in three out of five games he has started. Watkins is my favorite Chiefs receiver to play this week, especially at a bargain price of $4,700.
When not rostering Hunter Henry, I will elect to mix in Austin Hooper this week on DraftKings. While Hooper has been a far cry from last year’s 75-787-6 receiving line with the Atlanta Falcons, I still believe he has decent value this week versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. With Beckham Jr. on IR, the Browns don’t have many playmakers in the passing game, outside of Jarvis Landry. Jacksonville has allowed the 7th most DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends (14.5 DKFP/GM) this season. It is also worth noting that Jaguars defensive coordinator Todd Walsh and defensive line coach Jason Rebrovich will not coach in Sunday’s game against Cleveland, according to the NFL COVID-19 protocols. This game could get out of hand quickly and given the matchup, I am willing to take some shots on Austin Hooper, especially in GPPs.
With Joe Burrow (ACL) done for the year, the Bengals will go with practice squad call up Brandon Allen at quarterback versus the New York Giants. Who? Allen has a career 39-of-84 pass attempts for 515 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. The Giants defense has racked up 25 sacks this season, which ranks 11th in the NFL. Add that with the dreadful Bengals offensive line, which has allowed the 2nd most sacks (36) in 2020 and you get a tasty, tasty matchup for the Giants defense. Pressure leads to sacks and turnovers and at $3,200 the Giants are my favorite defense to target in cash games this week.
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 12 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.
Let us know what you think of our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 12 Picks: Sunday Main Slate
Houston opened as a 2.5-point favorite with both teams in desperate need of a win in order to inch closer to a playoff spot. Currently, that line has moved to Houston -3 at most books.
The total was originally set at 52 points. The total has moved downward throughout the week that now sits at 50.5 or 51 points at the majority of sportsbooks. Check SBR for the latest line movements.
The Texans picked up a home win over the New England Patriots on Sunday 27-20. A win over the Pats should give the Texans a bit of confidence and momentum against the Lions today. Houston’s defense has had difficulties stopping the run, as they are last in the league in that department. However, Houston allowed just 86 yards to the Patriots, and Detroit is ranked 29th in the league in rushing. Houston is even worse when it comes to rushing the ball as they rank dead last in the league in rushing (31st). The good news is Detroit’s run defense ranks 30th in the league in rush defense.
The Lions were shutout in their last game against the lowly Carolina Panthers. Furthermore, Detroit has now lost three of their last four games. Matthew Stafford has been serviceable having thrown for 2581 yards with 17 TDs and seven INTs on the year. That is good enough to land the Lions as the 15th ranked passing attack in the league. Unfortunately, the run game is awful as noted by Adrian Peterson as the team leader with only 389 rushing yards. The Lions sit at 4-6 on the year and are still alive for a playoff spot and should play motivated today.
Conclusion
I believe this game will be won through the air since both teams struggle to rush the ball and defend the run. DeShaun Watson has posted an impressive 2883 yards with 20 TDs and just five INTs this season. Even without WR Randall Cobb (Toe), Watson and company should do enough to cover on the road. I also lean over but will stick to the side in this contest.
Pick: Texans -3
Let us know what you think of our 2020 Thanksgiving Day Football Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Detroit Lions Game. Previews and Predictions
Last week our 6 picks combined for 79.0 DKFP (DraftKings Fantasy Points). Denver Broncos QB Drew Lockled the way with 33.2 DKFP. Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones also contributed 16.4 DKFP to give our lineups and our reader’s lineups positive results in week 9. Now, let’s get the screens green again with our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 10 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Here we go…
The Cardinals are currently 2.5 point favorites versus the Bills. It should be noted the game total has jumped from 52 to 56 points. Undoubtedly the increase in the game total is warranted, especially with a marquee matchup between two of the NFL’s premier playmakers at quarterback. With such a high projected total I love the potential for a shootout which we always aim for in DFS.
Kyler Murray has been remarkable through the halfway point of the season, throwing for 2,130 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. And then it’s impossible to ignore his 543 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns on the ground. In fact, Murray is on pace to be the third quarterback in NFL history to have 1,000 rushing yards in a season (Michael Vick in 2006, Lamar Jackson in 2019). This week he gets a Buffalo defense that is allowing 20 DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks in 2020. The Bills are far from the dominant defense they were in the past and will have their hands full this week with a dual-threat QB like Murray.
DeAndre Hopkins only saw three targets last week against the Miami Dolphins, finishing the game with a 3-30-0 receiving line and a measly 6 DKFP. But still, Hopkins ranks in the top five in receptions (60), receiving yards (734), and target share (29%) this season. Due to last weeks mediocre performance, I see no reason not to play D-Hop this week. Let’s not forget this Bills defense allowed DK Metcalf to torch them for 7 catches, 108 yards, and a touchdown (26.8 DKFP) last week. Furthermore, defensive backs Tre’Davious White (ankle), Micah Hyde (ankle), and Josh Norman (hamstring) have been limited in practice this week. Keep your eyes on the injury report, because if any of them are ruled out (especially White), Hopkins could have a monster day.
Although he did not find the end zone last week against the Seattle Seahawks, John Brown had his most productive game of the 2020 season, catching 8 of 11 targets for 99 yards, good for 17.9 DKFP respectively. Over the last three weeks, the Cardinals have allowed the second most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (51.7 DKFP). To put that into a better perspective, the Seahawks have allowed the most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (59.5 DKFP) over the last three weeks. I see this game playing out much like last week’s game against Seattle, with two pass-heavy offenses against average defenses. This stack is a GPP dream for week 10!
SPICY NARRATIVE ALERT: Brown was drafted by the Arizona Cardinals in the 3rd round of the 2014 NFL draft. He finished his Cardinals career with 2,515 receiving yards and 17 TDs. Sunday will be Browns’ first time facing his old team. At $5,300 on DraftKings, Josh is my favorite Bill to bring back in my Murray-Hopkins stacks.
Christian McCaffery is considered “week to week” after suffering a shoulder injury in last week’s 33-31 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. I love you DraftKings, but there appears to be a mistake in pricing Mike Davis this week. Davis is currently priced at the BARE MINIMUM for a running back. With CMC ruled out, Davis will be operating as an RB1 this week versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In the six games Davis has started for McCaffery this year, he has averaged a respectable 17.5 DKFP/GM. Although Tampa Bay has the NFL’s No. 1 rush defense, allowing only 78 yards per game this year, Davis does not have to do much to pay off his price tag. Even if he only replicates his week two previous games versus the Buccaneers (15.5 DKFP) he is a fantastic value and a cash game lock this week on DraftKings.
In the last three weeks, Evan Engram has caught 16 of 29 targets for 155 yards and one touchdown, averaging 13 DKFP/GM respectively. He owns a 22% target share, which ranks second (behind Darren Waller) among tight ends on the DraftKings main slate. This week Engram faces a Philadelphia Eagles defense that has allowed the 4th most DKFP/GM (16.6 DKFP) to opposing tight ends. In week seven, Engram caught six of nine targets for 46 yards versus the Eagles, good for 10.9 DKFP. If Engram can replicate that and find the endzone, he will be a steal at $4,500 on DraftKings this week. Engram will be well represented in my GPP lineups this week.
First off the New OrleansSaints completely smashed Tom Brady and the Buccaneers last week. The Saints defense finished that game with 3 sacks, 3 interceptions while only allowing THREE points, good for 16 DKFP. Even after such a great performance, DraftKings only raised their price $100 this week versus the San Francisco 49ers. The injury bug has certainly been an issue in San Francisco, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Here are key playmakers that will be watching from the sideline in week 10.
If the Saints defense can put up big numbers against Tampa Bay, I believe they can easily repeat that in week 10 against a banged-up 49ers offense. Take the Saints defense in any format this week with confidence.
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 10 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.
Let us know what you think of our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 10 Picks.
Last week our 6 picks combined for 65.1 DKFP (DraftKings Fantasy Points). Seattle Seahawks WR DK Metcalf led the way with 43.1 DKFP. Unfortunately, our team stack and tight end pick let us down in week 8. However, it is a new week and we are back for week 9 and ready to regain our winning ways. Now, let’s get the screens green again with our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 9 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Here we go…
First off, the Falcons are currently 4 point favorites at home against the Broncos while the total has climbed up to 50 points after opening at 47.5 points. Secondly, both teams are giving up at least 26.1 total points per game while surrendering over 360 total yards per game. Lastly, Atlanta is allowing the second-most passing yards per game (311.4) in the NFL, which is a decent segue into our top QB-pass catcher stack of the week.
Drew Lock and the Broncos made a dramatic comeback last week versus the Los Angeles Chargers, winning the game on a last-second touchdown pass from Lock to KJ Hamler. Furthermore, Lock ended the game with 248 passing yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, finishing with 20.8 DKFP respectively. This week Lock gets a matchup against a Falcons defense that has allowed the second-most DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks (25.8 DKFP/GM). In spite of underperforming this season, (averaging 10.8 DKFP/GM through five games) Lock has faced a trio of top tier defenses. The Steelers (16.4 DKFP/GM allowed to QB, 7th fewest), Patriots (15.1 DKFP/GM) and the Chiefs (16.1 DKFP/GM) are all a murders row for opposing quarterbacks. It should be noted that Lock is also the fourth cheapest quarterback on DraftKings this week, making him a great value play.
The Falcons are allowing the most DraftKings fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends (19.1 DKFP/GM). Therefore, Noah Fant is my preferred stacking option with Drew Lock. Fant owns a 16.3% target share, which ranks 7th amongst tight ends on the DraftKings main slate. Noah is coming off a game where he saw nine targets versus the Chargers, finishing the game with a 7-47-0 receiving line and 11.7 DKFP.
Although fellow tight end Albert Okwuegbunam has been eating into Fant’s workload, seeing 14 total targets over the last three weeks, I’ll still go with Fant. Plus, the last time Fant was priced at $4,600 was in week one versus the Tennessee Titans, all he did then was put up 19.1 DKFP on a 5-81-1 receiving line. So, we MUST play him, right? Although that is hyperbole, I will most certainly be rostering Noah Fant this week in my Drew Lock stacks. He is simply too cheap given his upside in this spot, especially in GPP tournaments.
With fellow wide receivers Calvin Ridley (foot) and Russell Gage (knee, shoulder) currently questionable, Jones may see an increase from his already massive 25.4% target share (5th highest on DraftKings main slate amongst WR’s). In addition, the Broncos allow a middling 38.6 DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers. Furthermore, Atlanta may be without their top two cornerbacks Bryce Callahan (ankle) and A.J. Bouye (concussion) who is currently questionable. Matter of fact, Denver promoted cornerback Kevin Toliver to the active roster on Thursday, hinting that one of either Bouye or Callahan may not play. Julio has been red hot the last three weeks, catching 23 of 29 targets for 271 yards and two touchdowns. In conclusion, I cannot help but seeing that trend continue this week against a banged-up Broncos secondary. I’ll be rostering Jones in all formats this week.
David Johnson has scored double-digit fantasy points in all but one game this season. That lone game was against the stingy defense of the Baltimore Ravens. This week he gets a fantastic matchup against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that has allowed the 6th most DKFP/GM to opposing running backs (29.4 DKFP/GM). Furthermore, Johnson rushed for 96 yards and caught two of four targets for 7 yards (12.3 DKFP) in week five against the Jaguars. Coming off a bye week and currently favored by seven points, I definitely like Houston to win outright and Johnson to be heavily involved. At $5,600 on DraftKings, Johnson will be well represented in my GPP lineups for week 9.
First off, over the last four weeks, the Raiders have allowed 17.8 DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends. That translates to the third-most in the NFL over that span. Secondly, Hunter Henry is the cheapest he has been all year at $4,000 on DraftKings. I understand he has been pedestrian on the stat sheet, averaging 9.6 DKFP/GM, and only scoring one touchdown this year. However, he still ranks in the top ten amongst tight ends in target share (18%), air yards (327), and yards after the catch (148). Lastly, at his bargain price, Henry should be a popular play on DraftKings this week against the Las Vegas Raiders. I’ll gladly take Henry in my GPP lineups that I don’t use the Lock/Fant stack.
Certainly two sacks and one turnover won’t “wow” in the stat sheet (4 DKFP) from last week. Still, the Giant’s defense impressed me last versus Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In fact, they rank 13th in total yards allowed (355) this year compared to ranking 25th (377) in 2019. But the biggest improvement is in the QB pressure department. New York currently ranks 9th in the NFL with 20 sacks. This week the Giants should be successful at getting to the quarterback against a Washington Football Team offensive line that has given up 26 total sacks this season, which ranks 30th in the NFL. Sacks lead to turnovers and at under $3,000 on DraftKings, the Giants are the Occam’s razor play of the week. Keep it simple!
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 9 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.
Let us know what you think of our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 9 Picks.
Last week our 7 picks combined for 104.2 DKFP (DraftKings Fantasy Points). New Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara led the way with 22.8 DKFP. We were also very confident in the Washington Football Team defense last week who subsequently delivered our lineups 17.0 DKFP. Importantly, several of our loyal readers continued to have green screens in week 7. This week I really like the GPP tournaments on DraftKings. Therefore I will focus strictly on GPP picks only in this preview. Now, let’s keep the screens green with our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 8 Picks: Sunday Main Slate lineup staples.
It should be noted the 49ers and Seahawks game is currently projected for 53 total points, the highest total on DraftKings Sunday main slate. The Seahawks are currently favored by three points. Importantly this game is expected to be a high scoring shootout, which is what we like when selecting game stacks.
Not only is Jimmy Garoppolo the third-cheapest quarterback on DraftKings but he also gets a match up with a Seahawks defense that has allowed a league-worst 27.9 DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks and an abysmal 369 passing yards per game. I understand that Garoppolo has not hit the 25 DKFP mark this year. However, this will be his first game against a bottom tier pass defense. The five games Garoppolo has started this year have been against tough opponents. The Patriots, Rams, Dolphins, Jets, and Cardinals, all rank in the top 16 in passing yards allowed. At his bargain price, Garoppolo is my favorite quarterback to roster in GPP’s this week by far.
When it comes to who I want to stack with Garoppolo it is hard to look past George Kittle. Although Seattle has been tough on opposing tight ends, allowing the third-fewest DKFP/GM (7.9) let’s be honest, Kittle is not your typical tight end. Kittle spends 17.5% of his snaps in the slot and therefore sees nearly 30% of his team’s targets in the passing game. For one thing, we have seen Kittle’s ceiling this year, as his 43.1 DKFP against the Philadelphia Eagles in week 4 is evidence of. Furthermore, with injuries to wide receiver Deebo Samuel (hamstring) and running backs Raheem Mostert (ankle) and Jeff Wilson (knee), Kittle should be in line for a massive workload.
I know choosing between Metcalf and Tyler Lockett seems to be a crapshoot, I elect to roster Metcalf this week in my Garoppolo-Kittle stacks. First of all, Metcalf ranks third amongst wide receivers in air yards with 776, tied for fifth in touchdowns with 5 TD’s and is seventh in aDOT (average depth of target) amongst wide receivers who have seen at least ten targets (17.2 aDOT) this season. Secondly, in two games last year versus the 49ers, Metcalf had 12 receptions for 151 yards and 1 TD. Let’s hope after Lockett’s massive 56 DKFP last week, that Metcalf can be the one who produces this week against the 49ers.
With Nick Chubb (knee) expected to return in week 9, this could be the last week that Kareem Hunt is the workhorse running back in Cleveland. It couldn’t come at a better time, as the Browns face the Las Vegas Raiders who have allowed the second-most DKFP/GM to opposing running backs (32.4 DKFP/GM) this season.
Since taking over in week 5, Hunt has rushed for only 188 yards (63 rushing yards/GM). But it is worth noting that two of those three games were against the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers, who rank in the top three this year in rushing yards allowed per game. Hunt has been able to salvage his fantasy days by catching 8 passes for 64 yards and two TD’s the last three weeks, giving him a solid floor on DraftKings. Given the nature of the matchup, Hunt will be a GPP staple in my lineups this week.
Last week versus Cleveland, Sample saw 6 targets hauling in 5 good for 52 yards, resulting in 10.2 DKFP respectively. What stands out is that he was on the field with an impressive 97% snap share. Opportunity is sure to keep knocking again this week against a Tennessee defense that surrenders 15.4 DKFP/GM to tight ends. Again, this all about GPP roster construction.
The Bills defense produced last week, sacking Sam Darnold six times and picking him off twice, finishing with 14 DKFP. Even after a solid outing, the Bills have seen their price drop from $4,700 last week to $3,300 this week versus the New England Patriots. Patriot wide receivers Julian Edelman (knee) and N’Keal Harry (concussion) have already been ruled out. Furthermore, offensive linemen Justin Herron (ankle), Shaq Mason (calf), and Joe Thuney (ankle) are all questionable. I suspect the Bills defense could be in line for a solid day against Cam Newton, who is no stranger to turning the ball over (7 INT and 1 FUM in 5 games started this season).
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 8 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.
Let us know what you think of our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 8 Picks.
