SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments

SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments

SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments
By Tommy Baker

Well, we’ve come to the end of the NFL season and to our last NFL DraftKings article for the 2020-2021 season, so let’s finish off the NFL season with some green screens. In order to put together a lineup that can cash when you have 100,000 + rosters to compete with you have to get creative and take some strategic chances.  For our DraftKings Showdown lineup, we’re going with a cheap, probably overlooked Captain in order to roster the usual Chief – Buccaneer’s lineup staples. Now, let’s take a look at our SuperBowl DraftKings Showdown Picks.

CAPTAIN

RB Ronald Jones $3,300

SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments

Ronald Jones has taken a back seat to Leonard Fournette during the playoffs, seeing only 37% of Tampa Bay’s offensive snaps the last two weeks. During that span he has 23 total rushes for 78 yards and no touchdowns. Kansas City, including playoffs, allowed 1,749 rushing yards (24th) and 4.5 yards per carry (20th) this season, which is encouraging for Jones who isn’t exactly known for his receiving prowess.

The Chiefs did allow a whopping 820 receiving yards (32nd), 95 receptions (T28), and 6.5 yards per target (27th) to opposing running backs which worked in Fournette’s favor. We are touchdown hunting with Jones in this spot if he is to offer any sort of ceiling. But I am willing to take that chance if it allows me to get both quarterbacks at the FLEX. If Jones can manage to catch one or two balls and find the endzone, he makes for a great CAPTAIN play at a bargain-basement price. 

FLEX

QB Patrick Mahomes $12,000

Last year’s Super Bowl MVP does not need much introduction, just play him. Do you still need convincing? Check out Patrick Mahomes 2020 stats below.

  • 4,740 passing yards (2nd)
  • 38 passing touchdowns (4th)
  • 108.2 QBR (3rd)
  • Nine 300+ yard passing games (2nd)
  • 27 DKFP/GM

He might have even ranked first in all the above categories, had he not sat out for rest in week 17. Although Patrick Mahomes has only played in 7 career playoff games, he has thrown for a whopping 2,054 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions while adding another four scores and 173 yards rushing throughout those games. The kid takes his game to a whole new level once the postseason starts. The Chiefs will notably be without both their starting offensive tackles this week and Mahomes says his toe is “pretty close to 100%”. I’d expect him to take off running a bit more, especially if the Bucs are able to take advantage of a banged up Kansas City O-Line.  

Mahomes Super Bowl stats: 286 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 29 rushing yards, and 1 rushing touchdown.

QB Tom Brady $10,000

SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments

Only a select few quarterbacks have started in the Super Bowl multiple times. Tom Brady leads the pack with ten Super Bowl appearances and six victories. The GOAT finished the regular season ranking 3rd in passing yards (4633) and T-2nd in passing touchdowns (40) with Tampa Bay. Including the postseason, the Chiefs have allowed nearly 20 DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks, which ranks 11th worst in the NFL. If the Buccaneers are to keep this game close, Brady and Company are going to have to be in top form.  In his last four games against Kansas City, he has thrown for 300+ yards in three games while tossing six total touchdowns and averaging 20.8 DKFP/GM. 

Tom Brady Super Bowl stats: 2,838 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 6 interceptions, and 30 rushing yards. 

TE Travis Kelce $11,000

All-Pro Travis Kelce demolished the Buffalo Bills last week, catching 13 of 15 targets for 118 yards and two touchdowns, good for 39.8 DKFP respectively. This should come as no surprise as he took the entire league by storm, ranking 2nd in receiving yards (1,416), T-5th in touchdowns (11), 6th in targets (146), T-10th in target share (25%), 2nd in yards after catch (581) and 4th in receptions (105) throughout the regular season. This week he should feast again versus a Buccaneers defense that has allowed 13.8 DKFP/GM (T-22nd) to opposing tight ends. 

Kelce Super Bowl stats: 6 receptions, 43 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown. 

TE Rob Gronkowski $3,000

If you look at Rob Gronkowski’s game logs over the past four games, you may want to vomit. He averaged a paltry 2.8 DKFP/GM while compiling only four receptions for 72 yards. The only positive, he saw an impressive 77% snap share during that time. That snap share will be important this week versus a Kansas City defense that has allowed 14.7 DKFP/GM (26th) and 7.8 yards/target (26th) to opposing tight ends. Gronkowski knows the Chiefs well as his 17-363-3 receiving line in five total games against them is evidence of. Matter of fact, he recorded a season high 106 receiving yards on six receptions against this same Chiefs defense in week 12. This is Robert Gronkowski and Thomas Brady in the freaking Super Bowl, we have seen this movie before. 

Buckle up!

Gronkowski Super Bowl stats: 23 receptions, 297 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. 

There are a ton of great players that were not mentioned and rest assured we will roster Tyreek Hill, Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, Scotty Miller in other rosters as you should too. Mix and match your players accordingly and have some fun. Hope you enjoyed our SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments article and it gave you food for thought when setting your rosters.

Let us know what you think of our SuperBowl 55 DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS advice for Showdown tournaments article. Good Luck!

Super Bowl Prop Bets 2021

Super Bowl Prop Bets 2021

Super Bowl Prop Bets 2021
By Jason Grassi

Super Bowl 55 is here along with our Super Bowl Prop Bets 2021! The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who became the first team in NFL history to play in the Super Bowl at their home stadium

So many narratives where to begin? I’ll just touch on a few before we get to the good stuff. First off, you have Tom Brady playing in his 10th Super Bowl. Second, you have the Kansas City Chiefs looking to defend their title and go back to back. The last team to win back to back championships was the New England Patriots in Super Bowls 38 and 39. Lastly, Covid-19. We were able to get here despite a season that saw each team deal with impacts to their rosters thanks to the pandemic. Let’s take a look at our Super Bowl Prop Bets 2021.

Most knowledgeable sports handicappers will focus on the spread and total. However, there are numerous opportunities within the game that anyone can bet on and make the game more enjoyable. Now it’s time to focus on our 3 favorite Prop Bets for Super Bowl 55.

In full disclosure, I already have a wager on the Kansas City Chiefs – 3, therefore all my picks are correlated to the Chiefs winning.

Patrick Mahomes MVP (-115)

Patrick Mahomes MVP (-115) for Super Bowl 55

As stated, I believe the Chiefs will win the game. In order for that to happen QB Patrick Mahomes will need to be essential in Kansas City’s victory. If Mahomes can come close to his previous performance against Tampa Bay earlier in the season, he should easily win the MVP. In week 12 against the Bucs’ all Mahomes did was throw for 462 yards with 3 TDs completing 37 of 49 pass attempts. Mahomes is a previous Super Bowl MVP and has shown he can deliver in big situations. I like the odds, the situation, and the player. Give me Mahomes at only -115 to raise the Pete Rozelle Trophy for the second consecutive year.

Travis Kelce 9+ receptions (+110)

Travis Kelce 9+ receptions (+110) for Super Bowl 55

In the Divisional Round game against the Cleveland Browns Kelce hauled in 8 receptions on 10 targets. Next, Kelce secured 13 of his 15 targets for 118 yards and two touchdowns against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship.  

Undoubtedly Mahomes will look for his All-Pro TE Todd Kelce often on Sunday. Especially against a Bucs’ defense that allowed 86 receptions (25th) to the TE during the regular season. 

In 15 regular season games Kelce only exceeded 9 + receptions in 2 games. However, he did finish with 8 + receptions in 7 regular season games. One of those games was against these Buccaneers in Week 12.

Kelce has already seen 25 targets in the these playoffs. Furthermore he was responsible for 23.7% of all the Chiefs offensive targets during the regular season.  

Total Points Scored (50-56) +425

First off, I love this number of +425. It falls directly into my prediction of 52 total points scored on Sunday. In their first meeting this season these two teams combined for 51 points. If either team tacks on a late FG it still stays within the 50-56 point range.

Why Not…

To be clear I never wager on non-football props. However, I would lean orange color Gatorade (+115). The only reason is that it was the color from last year.

Good Luck, and enjoy Super Bowl 55 everyone.

Let us know what you think of our Super Bowl Prop Bets 2021.

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