NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022

NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022

NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022
By Jay Grassi

The 2022 NFL season is finally here. Teams around the league have officially finalized their 53-man rosters. Therefore it is time to place our 3 favorite future team total wagers heading into kickoff. Now, let’s get to our three favorite NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022. Enjoy the season.

Chicago Bears – Under 6.5 Wins

NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022
courtesy: windycitygridiron

The Chicago Bears finished the 2021 season with a disappointing 6-11 record. And to be brutally honest, this team was a total mess down the stretch. The rumors of the players and assistant coaches quitting on head coach Matt Nagy probably resulted in some of those losses. However, new Head Coach Matt Eberflus will surely be a welcome change to last season’s dysfunctional locker room culture.

Although the Bears have the 6th most favorable strength of schedule according to EDSFootball, they start the season against the San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers and could quickly begin the 2022 campaign 0-2. 

Chicago has new coaching and management, an exciting but unproven second-year QB in Justin Fields, and minimal offensive firepower beyond wideout Darnell Mooney and running back David Montgomery. 

In addition to the offensive weapon woes, PFF currently has the O-Line ranked 31st in the league, with only the Seattle Seahawks ranked worse.

Defensively, Chicago lost Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks, a brutal one-two blow to their vaunted pass-rush. The Bears also feature two projected rookie starters in the secondary with safety Jaquan Brisker and corner Kyler Gordon that could suffer first-year NFL growing pains. 

I expect a better, more disciplined Chicago Bears this season, but there is still much needed room to grow in order to eclipse seven regular season wins.

Cincinnati Bengals – Over 10 Wins

NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022
courtesy: the guardian

The Cincinnati Bengals finished the 2021 season with a 10-7 record, making it to the Super Bowl, where they fought admirably but came up short to the Champion Los Angeles Rams 23-20. However, in order to get back to the big game the Bengals will have an uphill climb as they sport a strength of schedule that currently sees them ranked 26th in the league.

In addition to the formidable offensive weapons afforded to QB Joe Burrow, PFF currently has the O-Line ranked 8th in the league. Yet, this is possibly the most improved offensive line in the NFL. Guard Ted Karras, and tackles Alex Cappa and La’el Collins are all significant upgrades over the Bengals’ 2021 personnel. Add to that guards Jonah Williams and Jackson Carman both high draft picks who could develop in 2022.

On the other side of the ball, DE Trey Hendrickson delivered the best season of his career. He collected 14 sacks during the regular season and another 3.5 in the playoffs. Returning tackles DJ Reader and B.J. Hill combined to secure the middle of a defense that ranked fifth in the NFL against the run last season.

This team was minutes away from winning it all last season; they kept vital weapons from that team and made much-needed improvements at O -Line to protect Burrow and keep Joe Mixon piling up rushing yards.

Dallas Cowboys – Over 10 Wins

NFL Futures Three Best Bets for 2022
courtesy: thepanther

Fortunately for Dallas Cowboys fans, America’s team enjoy the most accessible strength of schedule according to EDSFootball in the NFL this season, tied with division rivals Washington Commanders, with its opponents possessing a collective 2021 winning percentage of just .462. 

QB Dak Prescott is healthy. Tony Pollard has emerged in the backfield as a fine compliment to Ezekiel Elliott. Pollard could see even more opportunities after the best statistical season of his career in 2021. He had 169 touches for 1,056 yards, and two touchdowns, plus his 5.5 yards per carry ranked second in the NFL among qualifying backs. Coupled with an O-Line ranked 6th by PFF, the Cowboys should be able to control game tempo most weeks. Wideouts CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup can potentially be a top-five receiving duo in the league. 

Another new weapon for Dak will be free agent WR James Washington, who compiled 1,629 receiving yards in 4 years with Pittsburgh. Washington should be their third receiver after losing Cedric Wilson in free agency.

Tight end Dalton Schultz has played all 33 games the past two seasons, starting 29 and posting 141 receptions for 1,423 yards and 12 touchdowns. The Cowboys used the franchise tag to keep Schultz, who should see even more chances this season.

Defensive coordinator Dan Quinn earned NFL Assistant Coach of the Year honors for turning around the Cowboys. Quinn’s group ranked seventh in points allowed and led the NFL with 34 takeaways.

Defensively the 2021 rookie linebacker Micah Parsons and interception extraordinaire Trevon Diggs helped the Cowboy’s defense go from awful to an elite level in one short season. Expect more of the same in the 2022 campaign.

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Enjoy the 2022 NFL season, and remember to bet responsibly.

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3 Best Prop Bets for Super Bowl 56

3 Best Prop Bets for Super Bowl 56

Super Bowl LVI: 3 Favorite Prop bets
By Jay Grassi

The big game is here – Super Bowl LVI. Super Bowl 56 will occur between The Los Angeles Rams and the Cincinnati Bengals at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, on February 13th. The kick-off time is set for 6:30 pm ET / 3:30 pm PT

  • Bengals vs. Rams point spread: Los Angeles -4
  • Bengals vs. Rams over-under total: 48.5 points 
  • Bengals vs. Rams money line: Los Angeles -195, Cincinnati +170 

In addition to the traditional sides, total and moneyline bets, The Super Bowl always features outrageous and ridiculous prop bets – by far more than any other professional sporting event on the calendar. With so many sportsbooks opening up recently, there certainly are plenty of options. So here are our 3 Best Prop Bets for Super Bowl 56

Cam Akers under 64.5 rushing yards

Guess how many games Akers has rushed for over 64.5 yards this season? None. Cam’s highest was 55 rushing yards against the Cardinals back in the wildcard round. Not sure why the books are convinced he will eclipse 64.5 rushing yards in the biggest game of the year? I also believe he is not 100% healthy from his Achilles injury. Sony Michel and the recently activated Darrell Henderson are sure to be involved in the run game as well, further cutting into Akers carries.

Tee Higgins over 5.5 receptions

All eyes are on the LSU connection of Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase, and rightfully so. The former college teammates have connected 81 times on 155 targets this season. However, Higgins has still managed to haul in 78 receptions over 13 games this season, an average of 6 receptions per game. Furthermore, Higgins has had at least six receptions in two of the three playoff games.

Samaje Perine over 1.5 receptions

Joe Mixon is the clear lead back in Cincinnati; no question about it. Backup Samaje Perine has hauled in 31 receptions this season, four in the playoffs, with 3 of those coming in the AFC Championship against the Kansas City Chiefs. Look for the Rams to pressure Burrow and Perine to be a lucky recipient of check downs as Burrow looks to get rid of the ball quickly.

In full disclosure, I am on Cincinnati +175. I believe the odds are stacked against the Bengals, but this team has fight, grit, and the youthfulness to play free and open. We’ve seen it all season; they never give up and find ways to fight back when trailing. I would not be surprised to see Burrow with the ball on the last drive and Evan McPherson nail another clutch FG to secure the win.

Enjoy the games and remember to bet responsibly.

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NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Preview and Betting Predictions

NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Preview and Betting Predictions

Last week our picks went 3-3, not bad, but certainly not great. However, thanks to the 49ers’ upset win, we did finish + ROI. So let’s keep the cash flow going in this week’s NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Preview and Betting Predictions.  

Green Bay and Tennessee will have the benefit of a week’s rest. Last week, Joe Burrow and Matt Stafford picked up their first playoff career wins. The Niners advanced thanks to an upset thriller in Big D, and The G.O.A.T. did what he has done throughout his career, and that was to notch another playoff win. Now to get you prepared for the week ahead, here are our best bets and picks for the Divisional Round. 

Saturday, Jan. 22nd

4:30 p.m. (E.T.) No. 4 Cincinnati Bengals vs. No. 1 Tennessee Titans

The Titans are the No. 1 seed in the conference and well-rested coming off a first-round bye. Last week, the Bengals dispatched the Raiders 26-19 in the wildcard round.

In his first career playoff game, Joe Burrow looked like a poised veteran, completing 24 of 34 passes for 244 yards and 2 touchdowns. So much has been made of the Cinicannit offense lately – as it should be. Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Joe Mixon are currently playing at an all-pro level. But I believe this game comes down to line play on both sides. Cincinnati will be without DT Larry Ogunjobi (foot), who ranks third on the team in sacks (7) and is an effective run-stopper. That bodes well for the Tennesse run game, which should have stud RB Derrick Henry back in the lineup for the first time after suffering a foot injury in October. Titans coach Mike Vrabel has been somewhat cryptic about Henry’s availability, but Henry continues to practice this week, so stay tuned.

Thankfully for the Bengals DE Trey Hendrickson, who leads the team in sacks (14), is out of concussion protocol. Nonetheless, I believe the Titans’ defensive line will have a massive performance against the lackluster offensive line of the Bengals that surrendered the 3rd most sacks in the league. In addition to a line advantage, the Titans finished the regular season as the sixth-best defense in the league based on points allowed. 

Titans QB Ryan Tannehill had another consistent year tossing for 3734 yards, 21 touchdowns to 14 interceptions. Furthermore, the veteran QB added 7 rushing touchdowns on a career-high 55 rushing attempts. Wideouts Julio Jones and A.J. Brown only combined for 1300 receiving yards this season, yet they will be ready to go Saturday despite the injuries both suffered this season. A well-rested Titans team, along with the return of King Henry, makes me feel Cincinnati is not leaving here with a W. 

Pick: Tennessee Titans – 3.5

8:15 p.m. (E.T.) No. 6 San Francisco 49ers vs. No. 1 Green Bay Packers

These two teams met way back in week 3 of the season, and it was a thriller. Aaron Rodgers led the Packers on a game-winning drive, which ended in a Mason Crosby field goal with no time remaining. However, that was the regular season. However, Aaron Rodgers is currently 0-3 against the 49ers in the postseason with exits in 2013, 2014, 2020.

Speaking of those 49ers, I believe the key will be the status of DE Nick Bosa (concussion) and LB Fred Warner (ankle), who left early in the first round of the playoffs due to injury. If those two guys are healthy and can play, the 49ers’ chances of containing Rodgers increase, therefore their chance of winning. QB Jimmy Garoppolo will again play through a shoulder sprain and a torn thumb ligament in his throwing hand. Garoppolo was effective enough against Dallas last week, tossing 16 completions for 172 yards and 1 INT. The game plan is clear for Coach Kyle Shannahan – get the ball to the dynamic WR/RB Deebo Samuel and reliable TE George Kittle while pounding the run with Elijah Mitchell

First off, it’s Aaron Rodgers, along with Aaron JonesDavante Adams, and now a healthy WR Randall Cobb (Core) will be at home in the playoffs, rested with a temperature expected in the single digits. Secondly, The Packers are an impressive 6-1 A.T.S. as home favorites over their last seven at Lambeau. Lastly, I believe Rodgers finally gets the 49ers playoff monkey off his back. 

Pick: Green Bay Packers -5.5, lean under 47.5

Sunday, Jan. 23rd

3:00 p.m. (E.T.) No. 4 Los Angeles Rams vs. No. 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Another matchup of teams who have already met this season. The Rams handled the Bucs 34-24 back in week 3. Bucs QB Tom Brady was 41 for 55 with a whopping 432 passing yards and 1 touchdown. Not to be outdone, Rams QB Matthew Stafford collected 343 passing yards and 4 touchdowns. Should we expect 700+ passing yards combined again? I doubt it, but you never know. Let’s start with the Rams. WR Odell Beckham Jr. has caught six touchdowns in nine games since joining Los Angeles. Cooper Kupp leads the league in every receiving category that really matters. LB Von Miller (6 sacks in the last 6 games) and the formidable DT Aaron Donald are pass-rushing nightmares for quarterbacks. The Rams are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Tampa Bay. 

No doubt the Rams deserve to be here, but the defending champion Buccaneers have QB Tom Brady, whose playoff experience far exceeds Matthew Stafford’s. The Bucs did take two big hits to its offensive line last week in their 31-15 wildcard win over the Philadelphia Eagles with injuries to Tristan Wirfs (ankle) and Ryan Jensen (back), both questionable to play. If they don’t play, expect added pressure on Brady. If Leonard Fournette (hamstring) does not go, running backs Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Giovanni Bernard should split carries with Bernard seeing the passing down work. Even without wide receivers Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin, Brady still has plenty of weapons, including old pal TE Rob Gronkowski, who I believe is guaranteed 8-12 targets in this game. Bucs defensive coordinator Todd Bowles and his exotic blitz packages should pressure Stafford, who threw 17 interceptions in the regular season, tied for the league lead. 

Pick: Under 48.5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

6:30 p.m. (E.T.) No. 3 Buffalo Bills vs. No. 2 Kansas City Chiefs

These teams met back in week 5, with the Bills routing the Chiefs 38-20. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes combined for 587 passing yards and 5 passing touchdowns. 

We all know how explosive the Kansas City offense can be, but the Chiefs are playing much better defensively than they did earlier in the season. In their first 7 games, the Chiefs defense gave up an average of 29 points per game. However, over their last 8, they only allowed 12 PPG. Coach Andy Reid has got his team in peak performance at the right time. 

Surely the Chiefs’ defense will need to come to play against a Bills’ high-powered offense. Buffalo appears to have caught fire at the right time, winners of 5 straight, and will look to avenge last seasons 38-24 defeat at the hands of these Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. Josh Allen has utilized receivers Stefon Diggs (1225 receiving yards), Cole Beasley (82 receptions), and TE Dawson Knox (9 TD) with efficiency all season. But it’s the running game with Devin Singletary, who has averaged 93 yards on the ground over his last 3 games, that makes this offense well balanced and intimidating to opposing defenses. Moreover, Allen also contributed 122 rushing attempts for 6 rushing touchdowns. This will be a great game and one I think will go back and forth offensively.

I firmly believe the winner of this game will represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.

Pick: Over 55, lean Bills +2

Enjoy the games and remember to bet responsibly.

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NFL Wildcard Weekend Betting Predictions

NFL Wildcard Weekend Betting Predictions

NFL Wildcard Weekend Betting Predictions
By Jay Grassi

It is finally go time – the start of the NFL playoffs. The road to Super Bowl 56 begins today. Here are our Wild Card weekend betting predictions to help you cash some tickets. 

Saturday, Jan. 15

4:30 p.m. (E.T.) No. 5 seed Las Vegas Raiders at No. 4 Cincinnati Bengals 

The first game of our NFL wildcard weekend betting predictions has The Raiders (Just Win Baby) did what they had to do in an overtime thriller against the Los Angeles Chargers to secure a playoff spot. Conversely, Cincinnati rested most of their key players in week 18 ahead of this weekend’s matchup. The Bengals easily beat these Raiders 32-13 back in week 11. Bengals’ RB Joe Mixon slashed the Raiders for 123 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns in that contest. However, Vegas has won their last 4 games and playing great on both sides of the ball at the right time. I believe the Raiders keep it close enough to cover, even if Cincinnati wins.

Pick: Las Vegas Raiders + 5.5

8:15 p.m. (E.T.) No. 6 New England Patriots at No. 3 Buffalo Bills 

These teams have already met twice this season, winning one game each. The Patriots limped into the playoffs, losing 3 of their final 4 games and surrendering an average of 31 points in those losses. The Bills are playing better of late, winners of their last 4 games after losses to the Patriots and Buccaneers in weeks 13 and 14. The Bills seem focused and ready to take the next step. It’s hard to beat a Bill Belichick team twice in a season (only has happened 6 times over his Patriots career), but the Bills are in a good position at home to do just that. It will be cold in Buffalo, which could slow things down as the weather is expected to be around 4 degrees at kickoff. 

Pick: Buffalo Bills – 5, also lean under 44

Sunday, Jan. 16

1:00 p.m. (E.T.) No. 7 Philadelphia Eagles at No. 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 

The defending champs kickoff day 2 of our NFL wildcard weekend betting predictions. Tom Brady. Enough said. The G.O.A.T. is no stranger to the playoffs; this will be Brady’s 19th postseason appearance over his 22-year career. The Bucs are slightly short-handed with two of TB12’s favorite weapons out, wideouts Chris Godwin (knee) and Antonio Brown (whatever that was in week 17). Still, Brady’s old reliable TE Rob Gronkowski has had back-to-back 100 + yard receiving games to finish the regular season. Veteran RB Leonard Fournette is expected to play, which is welcome news to the Bucs. The Eagles have won 4 out of their last 5 games and will have RBs Miles Sanders (hand) and Jordan Howard (Covid-19) active. QB Jalen Hurts rushed for 2 TDs back in week 6 against these Buccaneers and will look to repeat that against a Buccaneers’ defense that has allowed the 4th most rushing yards to enemy quarterbacks. I fully expect the Eagles to compete, but Brady will find a way to advance in the end.

Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 5

4:30 p.m. (E.T.) No. 6 San Francisco 49ers at No. 3 Dallas Cowboys 

This game is the one I am most excited to watch this weekend. The Cowboys are an impressive 6-0 against NFC East teams but 6-5 against teams outside their division. QB Dak Prescott and company have been exceptional the last 6 weeks of the season, averaging 34 PPG while only surrendering 18 PPG. However, the Cowboys will face a defense that finished 9th in the league against points allowed and T5 in sacks (48). On the other hand, Niners coach Kyle Shanahan has his team playing well at the right time. San Francisco definitely heads into the playoffs filled with confidence, having put up an average of 24.5 PPG over their last 6 games, including wins against playoff teams the Titans and Rams. This feels like a throwback to the great playoff games these two franchises battled it out back in the ’90s.

Pick: San Francisco 49ers Moneyline

8:15 p.m. (E.T.) No. 7 Pittsburgh Steelers at No. 2 Kansas City Chiefs 

Credit the Steelers for fighting their way into the playoffs while giving up more points (398) than they actually scored (343). Credit the Chiefs from bouncing back after a sluggish 3-4 start to righting the ship to finish 12-5 and remind everyone that they are still capable of dominating. Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger and company are simply overmatched here (his words, not mine). But I do happen to agree. Expect Pittsburgh to run the ball with Najee Harris and make a few big plays to keep it close enough. The Chiefs will win but laying 12.5 points is too much for my taste in a playoff game.

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers + 12.5, slight lean to the under 46.5 

Monday, Jan. 17

8:15 p.m. (E.T.) No. 5 Arizona Cardinals at No. 4 Los Angeles Rams 

Hmmm. This one is tough and here is why I think so – neither team is playing well heading into the playoffs. After starting 10-2, the Cardinals go into the playoffs losers of 4 of their last 5 games. What once seemed like a first-round bye is now a tough first-round matchup for Arizona. The Rams looked like a top contender to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl starting off 7-1. Matthew Stafford seemed like an M.V.P candidate, only throwing 4 INTs during that span. However, since that great start, Stafford has tossed 13 picks. Arizona’s defense is surrendering 24 PPG on average over their last 6 games, while the Rams gave up 18 PPG over that same span. Slight defensive edge to the Rams. This will be the season’s third meeting between these two teams, each winning one. I see a close one here with neither team taking control. This pick is based strictly on who is getting the points.

Pick: Arizona Cardinals + 4 

Enjoy the games and remember to bet responsibly

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DraftKings NFL Week 10 Picks: Sunday Main Slate

DraftKings NFL Week 10 Picks: Sunday Main Slate

Welcome to Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season. This week presents great opportunities to build your DraftKings GPP and cash lineups with players we find as must plays. With injuries starting to take its tole on several teams, trades being made and byes still in effect – we have you covered.

So now, let’s get to our DraftKings NFL Week 10 Picks for the Sunday Main Slate.

Top Stack

Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5) 53.5

Justin Herbert (QB) Los Angeles Chargers ($7,300)

Justin Herbert bounced back in a big way last week. All he did was put up 34.6 DKFP against the Philadelphia Eagles after being held to a combined 27.8 DKFP in weeks 8 and 9. Even after putting up 30+ fantasy points, he’s only the fourth-highest-priced quarterback on DraftKings. And this week, he is blessed with a great game environment versus the Minnesota Vikings. This game is projected to be close and high scoring, the perfect combination for fantasy points.

Over the last four games, the Viking’s defense has allowed the third most DKFP/GM (22.3) to opposing quarterbacks. Just two weeks ago they let backup Cowboys QB Cooper Rush throw for over 300 yards against them. Herbert, who ranks in the top ten in passing yards (2,350) and passing touchdowns (17) should have a field day against this defense.

Mike Williams (WR) Los Angeles Chargers ($6,600)

If you were to look at the last three-game logs of Mike Williams, you would surely be disappointed. Williams hauled in a measly six of fifteen targets for 104 yards and no touchdowns, averaging a disgusting 5.5 DKFP/GM over that span. But his lack of production has caused his price to drop $1,500 on DraftKings since week six. Williams’s upside is still there, evidenced by his 6 TD (T-7th amongst WR) and 130 PPR points (18th amongst WR). This week he finds himself in a get-right spot against a defense that has allowed the sixth-most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers. I’ll gladly play Williams in week 10 in both GPP and cash contests while he’s cheap.

Bring It Back With

Dalvin Cook (RB) Minnesota Vikings ($8,000)

Cook has averaged 16.5 DKFP/GM and has gone over 100-yards rushing in three of the six games
skysports.com

Dalvin Cook has missed some time with an ankle injury, but thankfully he has seen an average of 21 carries and two targets per game over the last three games. Those numbers to me suggest the ankle is holding up just fine. Cooks volume in touches is precisely where it should be (although I’d take a couple more passing targets, please). Even without many passing targets or touchdowns, Cook has still averaged 16.5 DKFP/GM and has gone over 100-yards rushing in three of the six games he has appeared in. I fully expect a heavy workload this week against a Las Angeles Chargers defense that has allowed the most rushing yards/GM (130) and the eighth-most DKFP/GM (27.2) to opposing running backs.

Tight End

Dan Arnold Jacksonville Jaguars ($3,500)

Dan Arnold has found himself in the write-up a couple times this season, and why wouldn’t he? DraftKings doesn’t seem to want to raise his price. He quietly ranks in the top 16 in target share (16.3%), yards after catch (152), air yards (257), and reception yards (326) amongst tight ends this season. Furthermore, he appears to be heating up, catching 12 of 17 targets for 128 yards over the last two games. I like Arnold’s chances of putting together another solid outing this week versus an Indianapolis Colts defense that has allowed the 5th most DKFP/GM (16.4) to opposing tight ends. Arnold will be well represented in our GPP lineups for week 10.

Defense

Tennessee Titans ($2,600)

The Titan's defense has been turning it on lately as they have 8 turnovers, 10 sacks, and two defensive TDs over their last three games

The Tennessee Titans host the New Orleans Saints this week. The Saints will start Trevor Siemian at QB and will also be without star running back Alvin Kamara. The Titan’s defense has been turning it on lately as they have 8 turnovers, 10 sacks, and two defensive TDs over their last three games. I expect the Saints to play it safe offensively given their injuries, but if the Titans can get out to an early lead and force Siemian to throw, they may find themselves having another big day. And at $2,600 on DraftKings, they don’t need to do much to pay off that price tag.

These are some of the players we will have in our GPP and cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2021 Week 10 contests. Good luck, and may your screens always be green.

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DraftKings NFL Week 8 Picks: Sunday Main Slate

DraftKings NFL Week 8 Picks: Sunday Main Slate

Week 7 of the 2021 NFL is thankfully behind us. Unfortunately, week 7 was not one of our best weeks. Our top stack of Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill only secured 22.4 combined DKFP. Fortunately, our bring-back of “King” Derrick Henry totaled 102 all-purpose yards and threw for a TD to notch 16.4 DKFP in week 7. Bears TE Cole Kmet gave us 9.4 DKFP hauling in 5 of 6 targets for 43 yards while continuing to prove he is DFS relevant. Sadly our defensive pick, The Philadelphia Eagles, secured us 1.0 DKFP while notching only 1 sack and no interceptions.

But this is a new week, and we are back with more GPP and cash contest picks for week 8 of the 2021 NFL season. So now, let’s get to our DraftKings NFL Week 8 Picks for the Sunday Main Slate.

Top Stack

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (-14) O/U 49

Top DraftKings stack week 8 2021 NFL season

Josh Allen (QB) Buffalo Bills ($8,100)

We all know what Josh Allen is capable of. Since his rookie year in 2018, he trails only Lamar Jackson in rushing yards by a quarterback (1,776) and leads all quarterbacks in rushing touchdowns with 27. But it’s what Allen has done with his arm over the past two seasons that has truly tapped into his upside. Since last season he ranks top five in passing yards (6,267), passing touchdowns (52), and QB rating (106.1). This week he faces a Miami Dolphins team that he has feasted on since 2018. In seven career games, he’s racked up 1,731 passing yards with 19 passing touchdowns and five interceptions. He also rushed for an additional 375 yards and three scores. Fact and point, Josh Allen is monster. Therefore play him – it’s Halloween.

Stefon Diggs (WR) Buffalo Bills ($8,100)

This season, Stefon Diggs has yet to have a breakout game, averaging only 16 DKFP/GM, compared to the 21 DKFP/GM he averaged last season. I truly BILLieve coming off the bye week that the Bills get their number one wide-out going. It couldn’t come at a better time, as Buffalo Bills host the Miami Dolphins, who have allowed the third most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers. Stefon Diggs, much like Josh Allen, has feasted on the Dolphins as a Bill. In three career games, Diggs owns a 19-289-2 receiving line and has averaged 21 DKFP/GM. It is also worth noting that tight end Dawson Knox (hand), who had averaged 4.5 targets/GM, is out this week. Extra potential targets, coming off the bye and facing a defense that has issues with strong passing attacks makes Stefon Diggs my favorite wide receiver this week on DraftKings in GPP and cash contests.

Bring It Back With

DeVante Parker (WR) Miami Dolphins ($4,900) or Jaylen Waddle (WR) Miami Dolphins ($5,600)

DeVante Parker is my preferred bring-back option this week due to his discounted price, but it is worth noting that he is questionable with a hamstring and shoulder injury. Parker has been influential in the lineup this season, averaging 14.2 yards per reception with a 17-241-1 receiving line. In twelve career games versus the Bills, Parker has compiled 55 receptions for 748 yards and four touchdowns.

Jaylen Waddle has been sensational in his rookie year. He has compiled 384 receiving yards with three touchdowns and ranks 6th (1st amongst rookie wide receivers) in total receptions with 44. He has three games with at least seven receptions this season, which bodes well for DraftKings PPR scoring. Additionally, the Bills should be leading this game, meaning the Dolphins will be throwing to keep up. And if DeVante Parker is ultimately ruled out, I feel confident in locking in Jaylen Waddle in my Buffalo Bills stacks.

Running Back

Khalil Herbert Chicago Bears ($5,400)

Top DraftKings Running Back week 8 of the 2021 NFL season
cbssports.com

I know what you’re thinking, “A Chicago Bear in a DFS lineup!!? He’s gone mad”. And while you may be right, I just can’t stay away from that $5,400 price tag on DraftKings. Especially for a guy projected in the lead-back role. Herbert looked great last week against a stout Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that has allowed a league-low 51.3 rushing yards per game. Herbert rushed 18 times for 100 yards in the game and caught all five targets for 33 yards, finishing with a respectable 21.3 DKFP.

However, this week he faces a banged-up San Francisco 49ers defense that may be without three starters, and that just allowed Jonathan Taylor of the Colts to rush for 107 yards and a touchdown versus them last Sunday. So I’m choosing to focus on the discounted running backs this week on DraftKings, allowing me to pay up for elite passing attacks. And Herbert is by far my favorite value running on the board. Herbert will be well represented in my GPP lineups for week 8.

Tight End

Dan Arnold Jacksonville Jaguars ($2,800)

Talk about a total streamer play this week and mark my words; Dan Arnold will be chalky. But it’s tough to stay away from that price, especially since he has seen 13 targets over the past two weeks. He faces off with a Seattle Seahawks defense that has allowed 13.4 DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends. And with the Jaguars implied for nearly three touchdowns, all Arnold needs to do is fall in the end-zone to pay off his price. I’ll take that gamble at $2,800 this week on DraftKings.

Defense

Washington Football Team ($2,100)

DraftKings week 8 defense

The Washington Football Team defense has certainly underperformed compared to last year. This year they rank 16th in sacks with 15, whereas last year, they finished the year with 47, which was sixth-most in the NFL. The good news is they are still getting the turnovers, ranking 8th this season with 11 turnovers. This is still a defensive line dominated by first-round draft picks Chase Young (2020), Montez Sweat (2019), Daron Payne (2018), and Jonathan Allen (2017). This week they face a Denver Broncos offensive line that has allowed the fourth-most sacks on the season. If this isn’t a get right spot for Washington’s defense, then I don’t know what is.

These are some of the players we will have in our GPP and cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2021 Week 8 contests. Good luck, and may your screens always be green.

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