Week 4 of the 2021 NFL season is the books. In week 4, our Cowboys stack of Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper totaled a whopping 42.9 DKFP, with Dak tossing 4 TD passes – one of those hauled in by Cooper. Dak continues to impress, and the Cowboys are certainly one of the best teams to start the 2021 season. Derrick Henry carried the ball 33 times for an impressive 157 yards and 1 TD for 28.7 DKFP. Not to mention our TE pick Dawson Knox quickly returned value with 2 TDs, good for 20.7 DKFP. Finally, our week 4 defensive pick – the Detroit Lions, surrendered 24 points to the Chicago Bears and only got 1 sack. Thus the Lions only secured us 3.0 DKFP, our only disappointing pick in week 4.
Nevertheless, still a solid week. But no time to rest. Now, let’s get to our DraftKings NFL Week 5 Picks for the Sunday Main Slate.
Top Stack
Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals 50.5 O/U
Joe Burrow (QB) Cincinnati Bengals ($6,100)
So far through four games, Joe Burrow has thrown for 988 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions, with a 114-passer rating. Burrow is coming off his best performance of the year last week versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. The second year signal caller threw for 348 yards and two touchdowns, finishing the game with 25.3 DKFP, respectively.
This week Burrow squares off with a Green Bay Packers defense that has allowed 21 DKFP/ GM to opposing quarterbacks. Furthermore Green Bay may be without their top cornerback Jaire Alexander who is nursing a shoulder injury. On the other side, Bengals running back Joe Mixon hasn’t practiced all week with an ankle injury, and as of this writing is questionable. Fortunately, deep threat wide receiver Tee Higgins (shoulder) is expected to return this week. Burrow should have his full allotment of weapons in the passing game, which is much needed in a projected high-scoring shoot-out with Aaron Rodgers. We have yet to see a Joe Burrow ceiling game this year, but it could very well happen this week and at a modest price tag.
Ja’Marr Chase (WR) Cincinnati Bengals ($5,800)
If the season ended today, it would be hard not to lock Ja’Marr Chase in for offensive rookie of the year. All the former LSU Tiger has done is rank second amongst wide receivers in touchdowns scored (4 TD) while catching 17 balls for 297 yards throughout the first four weeks of the NFL season. While the Packers have only allowed a measly 32 DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers, they may be without top cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder), as mentioned above. For a receiver with a 24% target share, 14.3 aDOT, and 356 air yards, Ja’Marr Chase is still too cheap this week at $5,800.
Bring It Back With
Davante Adams (WR) Green Bay Packers ($8,200)
Davante Adams may have disappointed fantasy owners last week versus the Pittsburgh Steelers, finishing the game with a 6-64-0 receiving line and 12.4 DKFP, but I am definitely going back to the well this week. Through the first four games of the season, Adams ranks in the top five amongst wide receivers in receptions (31), target share (38%), receiving yards (373), and air yards (493). I believe the $8,200 price tag is justified on DraftKings for week 5.
The Bengals have allowed a middling 37.7 DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers this season. But I think we can all agree that Adams is matchup proof at this point of his career. While he has only scored one touchdown this year, I believe some positive regression is in store in that department, and it could easily come this week in a game projected for 50.5 total points. Adams will be well represented in our cash lineups in week 5.
Running Back
Leonard Fournette Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($5,200)
I’m sure I am not alone in saying that I am not a fan of paying up at running back this week. Then again, Fournette who saw the bulk of the running back work last week for the Buccaneers, finished the day with 20 carries for 92 yards and caught three of five targets for 47 yards, scoring 16.9 DKFP respectively. This week he receives a matchup with a Miami Dolphins defense that has allowed 31.2 DKFP/GM to opposing running backs this season – second-worst in the NFL. If Fournette can just replicate last weeks stats and possibly find the end zone, he makes for a smash play in GPPs for DraftKings week 5 given his cheap salary.
Tight End
Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles ($3,400)
I get it, Zach Ertz is sharing the tight-end role with Dallas Goedert in Philly, but there is no way he should be this cheap. Over the last two weeks, he has caught fifteen targets for 113 yards and a touchdown, averaging 13.7 DKFP/GM. While the Carolina Panthers defense has only allowed 12 DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends, Ertz doesn’t need to do much to pay off his price tag. I just need him to find pay dirt this week, and if he does, he makes for a great value for week 5 on DraftKings.
Defense
Minnesota Vikings ($3,000)
The Detroit Lions could be without three starting offensive linemen this week versus the Vikings. They just placed Pro Bowl center Frank Ragnow on IR with a turf toe injury. Starting left tackle Taylor Decker has yet to suit up with a finger/hand injury, and rookie offensive tackle Penei Sewell has been nursing an ankle injury all week. To put it simply, it doesn’t look good for Jared Goff and the Lions’ offense this week. The Vikings’ defense ranks fourth in sacks (13), and the sixth in quarterback hurries with 23. As the saying goes, pressure leads to sacks and turnovers, increasing the chances for the glorious defensive touchdown. And at $3,000 this week on DraftKings, the Vikings defense is in a great spot to do just that.
Good luck, and may your screens always be green for DraftKings NFL Week 5 contests.
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